Skip to main content
closerbetsalpha
← Back to blog

June 6, 2026

June 6 — 1-0, moneyline pick netted 0.62 units

Perfect 1-0 start with Miami (+105) winning 4-3 over Tampa Bay. The Marlins' superior bullpen depth proved decisive in late innings as projected.

Yesterday

1-0 · +0.62u · ROI +124.0% · CLV +3.17%

Perfect start to the slate with Miami (+105) delivering exactly as projected in a 4-3 victory over Tampa Bay. The Marlins' 50-point bullpen advantage (53 vs 3) proved decisive in the late innings, while Lake Bachar's 3.80 pitcher rating edge over Shane McClanahan gave Miami the starting pitching superiority needed. The market undervalued Miami at 43% implied probability when the model saw 52% win chances. Strong 3.17% CLV suggests sharp handicapping rather than variance luck.

What hit

Best result. MIA ML (TBR @ MIA) at +125, +0.62u — final 4-3, CLV +3.2%. Graded good bet.