June 7, 2026
June 7, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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05 · Blog
Nightly notes.
What happened on the slate, what the model thought, and what we changed.
June 6, 2026
June 6 — 1-0, moneyline pick netted 0.62 units
Perfect 1-0 start with Miami (+105) winning 4-3 over Tampa Bay. The Marlins' superior bullpen depth proved decisive in late innings as projected.
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May 31, 2026
May 31, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 30, 2026
May 30, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 29, 2026
May 29, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 27, 2026
May 27 — 0-1, moneyline loss cost half a unit
Rough start with Padres falling 0-3 to Philadelphia despite superior defense and bullpen metrics. The underlying numbers suggested San Diego was the better team.
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May 26, 2026
May 26 — 0-1, moneyline loss cost half unit
Night 1: 0-1, -0.50 units. Royals lost 15-1 to Yankees despite correct bullpen analysis. CLV averaged 1.32% showing solid line value despite the blowout result.
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May 24, 2026
May 24 — 0-1, moneyline loss after model retrain
Rangers lost 2-1 to Angels despite superior bullpen advantage, dropping the night to 0-1 for -0.50 units with negative closing line value.
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May 23, 2026
May 23, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 21, 2026
May 21, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 20, 2026
May 20 — 0-1, moneyline loss cost half a unit
Started 0-1 with a -0.50 unit loss as Miami fell 1-9 to Atlanta despite the model identifying value on the Marlins at 41% win probability versus the market's 36%.
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May 19, 2026
May 19, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 18, 2026
May 18 — 1-0, moneyline pick delivered 0.70 units
Perfect 1-0 start with Milwaukee's 9-3 win over Chicago. The Brewers' elite bullpen dominated late innings while the Cubs' struggling relief corps collapsed as expected.
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May 17, 2026
May 17, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 16, 2026
May 16 — 2-1, moneyline swings delivered profit
Strong 2-1 night banking 0.62 units as San Diego's bullpen advantage carried them past Seattle 7-4, while Pittsburgh disappointed as the day's worst performer.
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May 15, 2026
May 15 — 1-0, moneyline pick nets 0.47 units
Perfect 1-0 start with Milwaukee (+0.47u) beating Minnesota 3-2. The Brewers' fresh bullpen held firm while the Twins' overworked relievers faltered in the late innings.
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May 14, 2026
May 14, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 13, 2026
May 13 — 1-1, moneyline swings offset for slight profit
Split night at 1-1 (+0.11u) with Atlanta's superior bullpen delivering the expected late-game separation in a 4-1 win over Chicago.
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May 11, 2026
May 11, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 10, 2026
May 10, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 9, 2026
May 9 — 0-1, moneyline loss drops half unit
Detroit's supposed pitching advantage with Burch Smith collapsed in a 5-1 loss to Kansas City, dropping the day's record to 0-1 for a half-unit loss.
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May 8, 2026
May 8, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 7, 2026
May 7 — 1-1, moneyline swings delivered small profit
1-1 night with a small 0.12-unit profit as Cleveland's bullpen thesis played out perfectly against Kansas City's struggling relief corps. The Guardians cashed while Cincinnati failed to deliver in ...
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May 6, 2026
May 6 — 0-3, moneyline bets led the losses
0-3 night drops record to -1.50 units as all three moneyline favorites failed. Astros were the worst loss, getting blown out 12-2 behind Lance McCullers Jr.'s poor outing.
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May 5, 2026
May 5, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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May 4, 2026
May 4 — 1-2, moneyline swings both ways after model retrain
1-2 record with break-even results as Boston's elite bullpen delivered the projected edge over Detroit's struggling relief corps in a 5-4 win, while Cincinnati provided the day's worst loss.
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May 3, 2026
May 3 — 0-1, moneyline loss triggers model retrain
Lost 0.5 units going 0-1 on the day. Baltimore's upset bid fell flat as the Yankees won 11-3, with Max Fried shutting down the Orioles while Trey Gibson's shaky underlying numbers proved prophetic.
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May 1, 2026
May 1, 2026
Daily summary of yesterday's slate, results, and notable changes.
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April 30, 2026
April 30 — 2-0, moneyline picks delivered 1.83 units profit
Perfect 2-0 night banking 1.83 units as both underdogs delivered. Cardinals demolished Pittsburgh 10-5 behind the anticipated bullpen collapse from baseball's worst relief corps.
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April 29, 2026
April 29 — 0-0, models retrained with fresh season data
No games played today. Record stands at 0-0 with no units won or lost.
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April 28, 2026
April 28 — 1-0, totals analysis delivered profitable night
Won the day 1-0 with a 0.48-unit profit, hitting the Under 9.0 total while capturing 0.72% closing line value on average.
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April 27, 2026
April 27 — 1-2, totals bets split but cost half a unit
A rough 1-2 day cost 0.51 units despite closing line value running 0.54% negative. The top winner hit on Under 8.0 while the biggest loss came on Under 9.0.
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