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02 · Daily Card

Sunday, April 12, 2026

Record
1-3
Picks
4
P&L
-1u
CLV

Settled picks

Sorted by edge at pick time

Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
PIT @ CHC
Under 12.5Total
62.1%
Pending

Model total: 8.9 vs line 12.5 (-3.6 runs)

MIA @ DET
Over 6Total
33.6%
Pending

Model total: 8.6 vs line 6.0 (+2.6 runs) | Both bullpens taxed (DET 34, MIA 34)

HOU @ SEA
HOU MLML
15.0%
Pending

Pitching disadvantage but value in price: TBD (49) vs Logan Gilbert (60) | Bullpen concern: HOU pen depleted (14) but model still sees value | HOU on 6L streak — contrarian value | Price value play: model near 50/50 (48%) but price is off (+15.0% EV)

CLE @ ATL
CLE MLML
14.5%
Pending

Even pitching: Tanner Bibee (54) vs Chris Sale (51) | Opp has stronger lineup (104 wRC+) but price compensates | Model 43% vs market 37% (+14.5% EV)