02 · Daily Card
Thursday, April 16, 2026
Record
2-1
Picks
3
P&L
+1.1u
CLV
+1.6%
Settled picks
Sorted by edge at pick time
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
LAA @ NYY
LAA MLML
36.6%
-1.4%
Got Lucky
Open+225fanatics→Close+240
Even pitching: TBD (44) vs Max Fried (44) | Bullpen concern: LAA pen depleted (21) but model still sees value | Away team fatigued (0mi travel) | Model 42% vs market 30% (+36.6% EV)
TBR @ CHW
Under 8Total
8.9%
+3.0%
Unlucky
Open-102draftkings→Close-115
Model total: 8.4 vs line 8.0 (+0.4 runs) | TBR fatigued (0mi travel) — offense may suffer
SFG @ CIN
Under 8Total
8.8%
+3.3%
Got Lucky
Open-105fanatics→Close-120
Model total: 8.4 vs line 8.0 (+0.4 runs) | SFG fatigued (0mi travel) — offense may suffer