02 · Daily Card
Sunday, May 3, 2026
Record
0-1
Picks
1
P&L
-0.5u
CLV
-5.4%
Settled picks
Sorted by edge at pick time
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
BAL @ NYY
BAL MLML
12.0%
-5.4%
Bad Bet
Open+180fanatics→Confirm+194draftkings→Close+230
The market severely undervalues Baltimore at 40% implied probability despite facing a compromised Yankees bullpen scoring just 42/100 compared to their elite 90/100 unit. Trey Gibson's 4.22 xFIP against Max Fried's 3.63 creates additional value, while Baltimore's superior -7 OAA defense provides crucial run prevention edge.