02 · Daily Card
Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Record
0-1
Picks
1
P&L
-0.5u
CLV
+2.3%
Settled picks
Sorted by edge at pick time
Matchup
Pick
Edge
CLV
Result
Grade
ATL @ MIA
MIA MLML
10.5%
+2.3%
Unlucky
Open+170betmgm→Confirm+158fanduel→Close+154
The market severely undervalues Miami at 36% implied probability despite the model projecting 41% win odds, creating 10.48% expected value. While Chris Sale (69.20 rating) significantly outclasses Janson Junk (38.00 rating), Atlanta enters with four position player injuries compared to just one pitcher injury for Miami. The Marlins are catching a 1-game winning streak against a Braves team on a 1-game skid, with Miami's home dome neutralizing weather concerns.